Estimate a 2026 HVAC replacement planning range for furnace, central air, matched systems, ducted heat pumps or ductless equipment, with an optional ductwork allowance and cost-market scenario.
HVAC replacement planning estimate
Build a 2026 U.S. installed-cost range for a furnace, central air, a matched pair, a ducted heat pump, or one ductless zone. This is a budgeting range, not a load calculation and not a contractor quote.
Nothing is saved. Nothing is sent anywhere. Do not open a refrigerant circuit or a gas line to inspect the system.
Your planning estimate
Choose the system, then calculate. You will get a low-to-high installed range, not a single quote.
Estimated installed range
Typical planning midpoint
Why this estimate moved
Possible costs not fully captured
How this estimate is calculated
Last pricing review: October 2026. Figures are national installed project bands, not prices per square foot.
1. Start with the published project band for the system. Furnace only: $2,000 / $3,700 / $5,400. Central air only: $2,500 / $5,000 / $7,500. Furnace and central air: $5,000 / $8,000 / $11,000. Ducted heat pump: $3,800 / $6,000 / $8,200. One-zone ductless: $3,000 / $6,500 / $10,000. 2. If, and only if, the system is furnace-plus-air or a ducted heat pump, and you chose new ducts, add $2,000 / $3,500 / $5,000. 3. Multiply by 0.90, 1.00, or 1.15. Round to the cent, then to the nearest $100.
The $2,000 / $3,500 / $5,000 duct step is the difference between HomeGuide’s $5,000–$11,000 replacement and its $7,000–$16,000 “with ductwork” row. Midpoints are the average of the published ends, already on a hundred-dollar mark. Home size does not change the dollars.
Why these numbers can differ from the HVAC guide: this calculator deliberately uses HomeGuide’s system-specific project bands. The main HVAC guide also reports Angi’s broader $5,000–$12,500 overall replacement range and This Old House survey averages. Those figures describe different source samples and scopes, so they are shown as cross-checks rather than blended into one invented range.
Before requesting quotes
- Ask for a load calculation. Do not accept a system sized only from square footage.
- Ask whether the quote reuses the ducts or replaces them, and whether the thermostat, pad, and line set are included.
- Ask what electrical, gas, flue, or condensate work is extra.
- Compare at least two written scopes for the same efficiency range.
Related guide: HVAC Replacement Cost 2026 covers equipment, ductwork, efficiency, permits and quote comparisons. Browse all calculators.
Safety
Refrigerant, gas piping, flue venting, and household electrical work are not homeowner tasks. A heat pump or air conditioner has to be charged and recovered by someone allowed to handle refrigerant. This range is not a sizing method and not permission to open the equipment.
Questions homeowners ask
- Does this size the equipment?
- No. Square footage is not collected because a published project band is not a Manual J load. The contractor measures the house, the ducts, and the climate.
- Why doesn’t a larger house raise the number?
- HomeGuide’s main rows are project totals. Using them again as a price per square foot would count the same job twice.
- When are new ducts added?
- Only for a furnace-plus-air replacement or a ducted heat pump. The adder is $2,000, $3,500, and $5,000 on the low, mid, and high lines. Other system types leave that choice out of the math and say so.
- Is the midpoint a quote?
- No. It is the center of the published band after the scenario you picked. Brand, efficiency, access, and code work still move the invoice.
Sources
- HomeGuide, “How Much Does a New HVAC System Cost to Install or Replace? (2026),” written by Kristen Cramer, August 27, 2025. Furnace $2,000–$5,400, central air $2,500–$7,500, furnace plus air $5,000–$11,000, with ductwork $7,000–$16,000, heat pump $3,800–$8,200, ductless $3,000–$10,000. https://homeguide.com/costs/hvac-cost
Illustrative check: furnace and central air, existing ducts, national baseline. Production result: $5,000–$11,000, midpoint about $8,000.
Planning boundary: This calculator is a budgeting tool, not a local contractor quote. Its assumptions, formula, exclusions, source notes and pricing-review date are shown inside the tool. See our Research Methodology for how Home Cost Desk builds and updates calculator ranges.
Related: HVAC Replacement Cost 2026 · All calculators